The coming week (June 18-22) should continue the trend of trending symbols. The only potential exceptions are gold and soybeans whose weekly pivots are sideways for reversal scalpers and who already made a wide-range move likely to consolidate sideways. However, both gold and beans have trending monthly pivots--a wild card working against my Iron Condor favorite trade.
The price of Bitcoin has fallen below $6,500 to reach its lowest level since Feb. 6. That was a day when it found significant support from around the $6000 mark which led to an eventual recovery to almost $12000 later on in the month. But it doesn’t feel like such a sudden rally will be on the cards again this time. Bitcoin has been trending lower along with other crypto currencies since early March and no end to the bear trend appears to be in sight.
The coming week will have some serious breakouts, blowouts, and wide ranges in prices, as well as continued “freight train-steamroller” trending behaviors. Gold is in a more extreme narrow range with strongly-trending monthly and inside weekly pivots more breakout-ish than last week as of Thursday. evening.
The coming week (June 4-8) will continue trending behaviors with gold in a narrow range with strongly-trending monthly and weekly pivots. In lesser-trending order toward the least trending are the yen, S&P 500, crude oil and bitcoin. Soybeans has trending June pivots but sideways weekly pivots and a wide range intraweek to offset/weaken the moderate June trendiness, although I can’t rule out a pivot-based breakout from almost-inside weekly pivots.
CME Group Bitcoin futures for May (K) contract expired this morning. The Bitcoin Reference Rate settled at $7,493.94 and trading in May futures straddled the theoretical rate by $10 early in pricing period and $5 in last 10 minutes of pricing period. CryptoFacilities publishes the Reference Rate and more info can be found here.
The coming week (May 29-June1) will trend a bit more and in more symbols than this closing week (May 25), according to pivot math. A few narrow-range breakout setups exist, and gold already started its wide-range upturn. Crude Oil has a pivots-based breakout setup on weekly pivots, a weekly chart bearish inverted hammer sell signal as of Thursday night, and 3-day chart narrow-range breakout math
The upcoming week should offer a little something for every type of market participant from the casual to the day trader and from the weekly options spread trader to the four-week time frame! My best ideas for narrow range breakouts on trending pivots for trend-chasing traders are the S&P 500 and, possibly, crude oil and bitcoin. Other symbols are creating exciting range trades.
It is the season for trend and breakout traders, according to my chart range statistics, aggregate statistics, and pivots. I do love sideways markets like I love Nashville biscuits with slow-pouring molasses & butter. Trying to pinpoint range reversals is a thrill. However, these breakout markets, at this moment wrecking my range-prediction precision, are teaching me honesty, flexibility, and caring service to others.