The Energy Information Administration (EIA) released another EIA Drilling Activity report that raised its estimates for shale oil production without considering the realities on the ground. According to the report, the EIA says that U.S. shale oil production will increase by 111,000 barrels a day to 6.55 million barrels a day in February next month, and that production in the Permian Basin will surge by 76,000 barrels a day.
Brent Crude crashed through $70 a barrel and WTI just shy of $65, shattering another glass ceiling many oil bears said was impossible to ever see. This came as OPEC said it has no intentions to relent on production cuts and overshadowed rising rig counts. Even as the market gets a little turn around Tuesday profit taking, the oil bears are having to throw in the towel.
Oil prices pulled back after Brent crude hit its $70 per barrel objective and Chinese crude oil imports hit a record high but was a bit shy of expectations, but still strong as global demand is surging, global supply is falling and then there is the dollar.
At the time of this writing, the U.S. dollar was still down against most major currencies. The greenback fell on the back of an earlier report from Bloomberg – citing people familiar with the matter – that China is considering reducing or halting its purchase of U.S. government debt.