The U.S. dollar was up against majors pairs on Friday ahead of the release of employment data in America. On a weekly basis the greenback gained against the Canadian dollar (CAD), euro (EUR) and the British pound (GBP), but lost ground against the Japanese yen (JPY), Aussie dollar (AUD) and the Swiss franc (CHF) after five days that featured various geopolitical developments. Holidays in the United Kingdom and the United States will make for a short trading week, but one that will be filled with economic data releases alongside new reports from U.S.-China and U.S.-North Korea relations.
Gold has managed to hold onto a significant chunk of its gains made yesterday despite the U.S. trading conciliatory messages with North Korea again, something which has boosted the global stock markets and the U.S. dollar. This comes after Donald Trump yesterday canceled the June 12 meeting with Kim Jong Un, which triggered a risk-off response in the markets.
On the daily chart of the U.S. dollar/Japanese yen (USD/JPY) currency pair we see price trading in a bigger, complex and slow corrective pattern, which is in Elliott wave theory known as a triangle. A triangle has five waves, and each of the five waves has three minor legs, however, one wave in a triangle can always become more complex.
Most policymakers were optimistic over the economic outlook, and felt it would “soon be appropriate” to raise interest rates if the U.S. outlook remains intact. However, the lack of clarity offered on rate hike timings beyond June simply left most investors empty-handed.
As any Economics 101 student learns, the Federal Reserve is responsible for U.S. monetary policy, including setting the level of interest rates, and more recently, managing the central bank’s vast assets acquired through repeated iterations of Quantitative Easing.
The U.S. dollar appreciated against major rival currencies on Friday. The dollar rally is back on after the two of the largest parties in Italy agreed to form a coalition government and Japanese inflation retreated. Although there is no plan for Italy to exit the European Union it could put it to the test with its fiscal strategy.
The euro/U.S. dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair is breaking down as the dollar upsurge continues. This follows buck-denominated gold's meltdown from the day before. The metal remains under pressure amid an appreciating US dollar and rising bond yields.