Gold buying opportunity after surprise 3.4% drop

October 5, 2016 12:25 PM

Gold fell by 3.4% to $1,268.70, while silver fell by even more and was down 5.1% to as low as $17.73 per once. Gold was also down by more than 3% versus the euro and sterling gold was also down 3% as the beleaguered pound had a temporary reprieve.

The sudden sell off was peculiar and it surprised analysts. It began at exactly 1200 British Standard Time (BST) just as U.S. markets opened and concerted and continuous ‘paper or electronic’ futures gold selling continued throughout U.S. trading hours, despite no data of importance, nor corresponding sharp moves in fx markets, energy and the oil market, nor indeed in stock markets. Indeed Asian and European indices were higher overnight. U.S. indices were higher at the start of the day too and then saw very gradual declines in the course of the day.

The sharp losses for gold and silver were attributed to a renewed “taper tantrum” and angst about central banks potentially rising interest rates and the indeed the ECB potentially tapering their massive QE programme. Indeed, these concerns are being blamed for European and emerging market stock indices falling today. However, the Bloomberg report which is being blamed for the falls, was not confirmed. It reported that the ECB will “probably” gradually wind down bond purchases before the possible conclusion of quantitative easing. The report was from anonymous “euro-zone central-bank officials”.

As ever, it is best to ignore Fed, ECB and other central bank “jaw boning.” It has been shown to be mere noise over the years.  Rather it is important to focus on the fundamentals of the global economy which is poor and deteriorating. With obvious ramifications for increasingly casino like global financial markets and risk assets such as stocks and bonds. Conversely, the fundamentals of the gold market are positive, arguably increasingly so.

“It’s a buying opportunity,” Bob Takai, chief executive officer and president of Sumitomo Corp. Global Research Co., said from Tokyo. Uncertainty about “the European currency, uncertainty about the sterling pound, all these things point to the direction that gold is going to be favored” he told Bloomberg.

Smart money traders, investors and value bullion buyers are buying gold and are using the price falls to accumulate on the dip. GoldCore has seen one of the busiest days trading on our online bullion platform since Brexit.

About the Author

Mark O'Byrne is executive director of Ireland-based GoldCore.