European stocks, bond yields fall show investor caution

April 4, 2017 09:22 AM

European shares edged lower on Tuesday, after falls on Asian bourses, and low-risk government debt yields fell as political risks from a meeting between the U.S. and Chinese leaders to the French presidential election kept investors on edge.

Markets also looked set to open in the red, according to index futures.

The dollar edged up against a basket of major currencies but lost half a percent against the safe-haven Japanese yen. Gold, another asset sought in uncertain times, hit a one-week high

"There was a tragedy in Russia and there may be some hedging-type buying ahead of the French presidential debate and also French elections in three weeks," said Yujiro Goto, currency analyst with Nomura in London, on the yen's surge.

In emerging markets, the South African rand fell more than 1 % against the dollar and bank shares fell after S&P Global cut the country's credit rating to junk on Monday.

The pan-European STOXX 600 share index gave up early gains and was last down 0.1 %, after falling from a 16-month high on Monday.

Britain's FTSE 100 index, however, rose 0.4 %.

Shares have hit record highs across the globe in recent months, partly in anticipation of U.S. President Donald Trump cutting taxes, easing regulation and raising infrastructure spending in the world's largest economy.

However, Trump's struggles to push other legislation through Congress has led some to question whether he will be able to fully make good on his campaign pledges.

"People are not so worried about inflation, they don't think the Fed is behind the curve. People are not so optimistic about Trump being able to deliver quickly on his election promises about taxes and infrastructure," said Guy Wolf, analyst at commodities broker Marex Spectron.

Geopolitical issues, including Trump's meeting this week with Chinese President Xi Jinping and the Monday's bomb attack on a metro train in Russia's second-largest city of St. Petersburg, which killed 14 people and wounded 50, also weighed on markets.

In Asia, Automaker stocks, which helped pull the financial market down on Monday after sub-par U.S. car sales data, were the main drag on Tokyo shares on Tuesday; the Nikkei fell 0.9 % to a 10-week low.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.4 %, having hit a 21-month high last week.

Yields on low-risk U.S. and German government bonds fell. falls. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields were down 3 basis points at 2.32 % after falling as low as 2.31 %, its lowest in more than a month, in Asian trade.

German 10-year yields touched their lowest level since March 1 and last stood at 0.24 %, down 4 bps.

Italy's bonds outperformed the rest of the Eurozone on the prospect of help for two struggling Italian lenders.

Benchmark 10-year yields fell 7.5 bps to 2.25 % after a European Commission spokesperson said late on Monday said there could be a solution on a bailout.

"Italy's banking sector has been a never-ending story, so any news pointing toward state support reduces the risk of a more severe development that could be the beginning of a banking crisis," said DZ Bank strategist Daniel Lenz.

French yields also fell, before a TV debate between presidential election candidates later on Tuesday.

Dollar up
The dollar inched up 0.1 % against its currency basket but fell to as low 110.24 yen. The euro fell 0.2 % to $1.0650 and sterling fell 0.4 % to $1.2432.

The Australian dollar was 0.7 % weaker at $0.7546 after the central bank held rates steady at a record low 1.5 % as expected and said growth in household borrowing, largely for housing, was outpacing rises in household income.

South Africa's rand fell as much as 1.9 % before recovering to trade down 0.6 % at 13.76 per dollar while bank shares tumbled after the credit rating cut in response to President Jacob Zuma's dismissal of his finance minister, Pravin Gordhan, last week.

Gold hit a one-week high around $1,260 an ounce.

Oil prices steadied: Brent crude rose 37 cents a barrel to $53.49.

About the Author

Nigel Stephenson, Reuters